Hello! Today, we’re going to analyze the sophisticated portfolio of an investor with approximately 1.2 billion KRW in assets and delve deeply into the core strategy that will allow assets to make a quantum leap in a future bear market: the ‘TQQQ Pyramiding Buying Method.’
Beyond simply “making money,” I’ve organized this so you can read it carefully for 10 minutes to understand how to systematically manage risk and maximize profits. β

1. Current Portfolio Diagnosis: “The Golden Balance of Stability and Aggressiveness” βοΈ
First, looking at this investor’s current state, they are employing a very clever ‘Barbell Strategy.’ On one side, they have very safe real estate and tax-advantaged accounts, and on the other, ‘cash ammunition’ for a powerful strike.
- π Real Estate (Safety Net): Two apartments worth 1.5 billion KRW. In particular, a 1.8% low-interest loan is a ‘cheat key’ that is as good as enormous profit in the current interest rate environment.
- π‘οΈ Tax Savings & Pensions (Foundation): 150 million KRW invested in S&P500 and Nasdaq100 through ISA, IRP, and personal pensions. They have already completed a structure that benefits from tax advantages and trends upward with market indices.
- π΅ Financial Ammunition (Opportunity Asset): 350 million KRW is held in US ultra-short-term bonds, earning 4-5% annually, in a ‘waiting for bear market’ state.
Conclusion: Like a seasoned investor with 100% profit experience, this portfolio demonstrates patience, waiting for the ‘right time’ rather than blindly going all-in on stocks.
2. Why Exactly ‘-20%’? The Benchmark for a Bear Market π
The investor stated they would act when the Nasdaq index falls by -20% from its peak. This is a very scientific approach.
- Correction Phase (-10%): This is a temporary relief from overheating. Full buying TQQQ at this point could lead to difficulties due to volatility.
- Bear Market (-20%): This is the point where financial institutions officially declare entry into a ‘Bear Market.’ It’s when public fear begins to peak, and historically, entering after this point has yielded the highest long-term returns.
3. Today’s Highlight: The ‘Pyramiding Buying Method’ ποΈ
The investor plans to deploy 350 million KRW of cash ammunition over one year using a ‘pyramiding’ approach. How does this differ from typical ‘dollar-cost averaging’?
β Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA)
- Method: Buy 30 million KRW each month, 10 times, equally.
- Characteristic: It’s comfortable, but when the index falls deeper, there’s not enough money left to lower the average purchase price effectively.
β Pyramiding Buying (Scale-down Pyramiding)
- Method: As the index goes down, increase the intensity of buying. (A shape like an inverted pyramid)
- Example:
- Nasdaq -20% point: Deploy 15% of total cash (testing the waters)
- Nasdaq -30% point: Deploy 25% of total cash (increasing weight)
- Nasdaq -40% point: Deploy 60% of total cash (making a decisive move)
π Overwhelming Advantages of Pyramiding
- Optimized Average Price: You acquire significantly more shares when prices are low. Later, even a small rebound in the index will cause profits to explode exponentially.
- Psychological Advantage: With equal buying, a market crash can induce fear, thinking “money is running out.” But pyramiding allows you to respond calmly, thinking, “It’s cheaper, so it’s an opportunity to buy more significantly.”
- TQQQ Risk Defense: 3x leverage carries a significant risk of ‘negative compounding.’ By not investing large sums early in a downturn, this risk is fundamentally defended against.
4. The Missing Piece: ‘Gold’ Allocation and Timing πͺ
The most regrettable aspect of the current portfolio is the gold allocation (0.6%). Gold is the ‘last bastion’ that protects your assets when stocks and real estate falter.
- Why increase it? Typically, a gold allocation of 5-10% is recommended for an investor’s portfolio. Given the current asset size, at least 60 million KRW would be needed for a hedge effect.
- Should I buy now? It’s true that gold prices are at an all-time high. Therefore, rather than buying all at once now, I recommend a strategy of gradually accumulating gold through regular contributions while waiting for a TQQQ bear market to first raise the allocation to 3-5%. Think of it as buying ‘insurance’ little by little whenever gold prices are suppressed.
5. Final Checklist for a Successful Quantum Leap β
- Maintain Patience: Enjoy the interest from US ultra-short-term bonds until Nasdaq -20% arrives. Impatience is the biggest enemy.
- Check Exchange Rates: TQQQ and ultra-short-term bonds are both dollar assets. When a bear market comes, exchange rates usually soar. You need to plan your investment considering exchange rate fluctuations.
- Confirm Cash Flow: Ensure there are no issues with real estate loan repayments (3.65%) by strictly separating living expenses from investment ammunition.
π In Closing
The key to moving from 1 billion KRW in assets to 2 billion, then 3 billion, lies in a ‘system that turns crises into opportunities.’ Your planned -20% guideline and pyramiding strategy will be central to that system.
I believe you will once again feed on market fear and make your assets flourish. I wish you successful investing! π₯
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